Time for Country Labor

By Thomas Flood, Macleay Valley Branch

In the Queensland State Election it was evident that as one moved away from Brisbane the drift away from Labor accelerated; it’s evident that country voters no longer identified with a city centered Labor. This phenomenon occurs across Australia.

It is time to implement the motions carried at the NSW State and Federal Conferences, to have an identifiable “Country Labor” brand across Australia.

In her report on National Conference the Prime Minister stated a requirement to expand Country Labor nationally. Country people deserve a Labor Party that they can trust, and link up with and one that listens to their concerns.

If we do not reclaim ‘the bush’ – where Labor had its genesis – then we don’t deserve to have any Labor Government in Australia. We must learn the lessons of Barcaldine and Rothbury, the Patrick Workers Strike and the Your Rights at Work Campaign. It’s time to put aside factionalism; to be divided is defeat.

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Lessons from Queensland

Queensland: Labor one day; LNP the next.

There is no shortage of explanations on offer:

  • the it’s time factor
  • privatisation
  • cost of living
  • the carbon tax
  • the mining tax
  • scandals and stuff-ups
  • sexism
  • the ‘judgement of heaven’
  • trust

The problem with the it’s time explanation, on its own, is that, in Queensland, it is rare for incumbent state governments, of either colour, of any age, to lose. The other explanations all seem more plausible.

Privatisation was definitely an issue, both because it hurt people, but even more than that, because it destroyed trust.

Having spent two nights in Gladstone earlier this year, I can confirm that it has become an expensive town: $600+ for two nights in an average hotel, and Sydney prices and worse, for restaurants. There were plenty of patrons, but all of them were miners.

What won’t be contributing to the cost of living is the mining tax and the carbon tax – both being as watered down as they are. But people don’t realise that – so we’ve had the pain without the budgetary gain.

Every government has scandals and stuff-ups. What matters is how many (too many), how they are handled (badly), and what steps are taken to prevent them – the obvious one being proper preselections.

Being a female leader has a swag of associated pluses and minuses. The expectation that women are more nurturing, somehow nicer, is both a plus and a minus. It predisposes the electorate to a certain warmth, but that can backfire. If a bloke lies, or swears, or is a bit of a bastard, it’s expected, it’s seen as understandable. If a woman does it, it causes mental confusion – it destroys trust.

The electorate doesn’t like politicians who break promises (lie), but the electorate is prepared to forgive, so long as they think they understand why the promise was broken. In Bligh’s case, in Gillard’s case, that isn’t the case. People don’t trust what they don’t understand – and when that behaviour is repeated, the effect is magnified – running hot then cold on carbon tax, mining tax, insulation, pokies, Rudd’s removal, being against gay marriage while living in a de-facto relationship. It confuses people. How then are they supposed to trust?

Some of the above are Federal issues, and it’s true that the electorate has some ability to distinguish between them, but only some. To properly firewall State from Federal, or vice-versa, requires a clear boundary between the two that didn’t exist at this election.

And State or Federal, way too much of the above is self inflicted.

There are other factors that are ‘acts of god’- floods, droughts, cyclones. These can’t be prevented, and people have some ability to understand that, but only some. For things that are not understood, the natural human response is credit or blame the leader. Therefore, if external events are not to destroy trust, then external events must be put into a narrative that explains why they happen, what you are doing, and why you are doing it.

It isn’t difficult:

  • climate change is real
  • carbon causes climate change
  • climate changes causes more rain to happen, and in different places. This causes more floods and droughts and cyclones than would other happen.
  • this is noticeable now, and it’s going to get worse if nothing is done to reduce carbon emissions
  • a levy on polluters would reduce carbon emissions, which would reduce floods and droughts and cyclones, just a little
  • therefore we are bringing in a levy on polluters
  • we know it will hurt a few people a little (and you are not one of those people), but in the long run, it would hurt a lot more to do nothing.
  • the resources boom has caused a two speed economy
  • we know people are suffering because of the two speed economy
  • fairer returns on our resources will reduce the impact of the two speed economy and help everyone share in the boom (and you are one of the people who will benefit)
  • therefore we are going to charge more for our resources.

Our leaders are clever people, they know all this. Perhaps they think it is so obvious it doesn’t need to be said. It isn’t. It does need to be said, over and over again. You’d think with all the focus group research, they’d understand what the electorate does and does not understand. It seems not. Rather, it seems that because advancement in the ALP has become so purely an internal matter, all their senses are turned inwards, and the ability to connect with the electorate has been lost.

The burning question is, can Labor change? Does Labor even want to change?

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Sydney Community Preselection – Make or Break for the ALP?

By Ben Aveling
NSW Labor is experimenting with a Community Preselection for the Labor Mayoral Candidate for the City of Sydney. The ballot will be part primary, part traditional preselection, with the community and party Members each collectively having an equal say in the final outcome. (By way of example, if there should happened to be twice as many votes from members of the community voted as from party members, then each community vote will be worth half of a party member vote.)

There have been two primaries held in Australia before, one by the Nationals in Tamworth and one by the Victorian ALP in Kilsyth. The Tamworth primary was a success – there were four serious candidates, 4293 people participated, party membership went up, and there was a 14.7% swing to the Nationals, compared to a statewide swing of 2.5%. The Victorian experience was the opposite – the only candidates were staffers, 170 people participated (rumour has it that most were trade-unionists organised by one faction or the other), about 5 new members joined, and the swing against the ALP was 10.0%, compared to a state-wide average of 6.8%.

The Sydney Community Preselection will be a success if it can ‘bring people back to the party’. But for that to happen, it must also ‘bring the party back to the people’. It must deliver a locally focused candidate with strong recognition and support in and outside the party – someone with a reputation of working for and with residents, not a would-be careerist who has ‘earned a turn’ from their faction.

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Will the ALP Follow its own rules?

From: John Kilcullen
To: NSWLabor@nswalp.com

Dear Mr Dastyari,

I would like to suggest that the NSW Branch choose a replacement for Senator Arbib by rank-and-file vote.

His replacement could be elected by the NSW members who voted in the election for national president.

There is no hurry to replace Senator Arbib, so there would be time to organise a poll.

There are five male NSW senators, one female. This does not meet the “affirmative action” rule, Rule 10, http://www.alp.org.au/getattachment/07dacd1a-3e6c-498f-b722-548c222a0f5e/our-platform/

So the candidates for selection should all be women.

Best wishes,

John Kilcullen

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Leadership.

By Ben Aveling

What happens on Monday is important.

What happens after Monday is even more important.

Australia needs the party to:

  1. continue to deliver the right outcomes,
  2. begin explaining why these outcomes matter, and
  3. have a good, hard look at why it has not been doing these things.

Neither candidate, on their own, has all of the skills the party needs.

As Barry Jones said, “He is an exceptional communicator and she is not. She is an outstanding negotiator and he is not. … If they were capable of working together, it could make Australia proud.”

But why should they not be capable of working together?

Rudd has told Gillard to put the party first. Gillard has said the same to Rudd. Each should follow their own advice. Instead of the wisdom of Solomon, we have two candidates both arguing that half a baby is better than none. Anyone who genuinely believes the party comes first should be happy to serve, even if they privately dislike the leader.

We cannot rely on finding the perfect leader; there is no such thing, every human is fallible and finite and this does not matter. What matters is the decisions that are made, not who makes them. The Leader does not have to make every decision, the leader does not have to attend to the implementation of every decision, but the leader does have to sell the party’s decisions.

And the party’s best communicator is Rudd. And the party’s best implementer is Gillard.

And for that reason, the party should select Rudd as PM and Gillard as Deputy PM and publicly support them both – sing loudly their shared journey of change and renewal. And it will be true, so long as the party makes clear that each leader is just one voice amongst many.

The Leader is the collective voice of the party. The Leader is not the only voice in the party. And yet, and at great cost to the party, we have had a succession of people publicly saying things like “I knew we were doing the wrong thing. I wanted to speak out. I remained silent.” Many of these people are senior ministers. It seems the party lacks internal forums where our MPs can safely speak and be heard.

That has to change.

Everyone says that we need our MPs to put the wider party ahead of factional interests. For that to happen reliably, we need our MPs to be answerable first and foremost to the wider party – to members.

Factions have a role to play – to develop and promote future leaders and teach them how to win followers from the rank and file and from the wider public. But this role is lost if factions are allowed to be the final word on who our MPs and leaders are.

We have to fix this. We have to implement the Faulkner Carr Bracks Review recommendations. Most especially, we have to implement Recommendation 25 – Intervention in Preselections can only be allowed in genuinely exceptional circumstance.

Rudd has promised change: “I stand for … [a] party where its members have a real say in who leads them and what policies they deliver.”

Gillard must do likewise.

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Local Labor Steering Group Formed

By Race Mathews
Key decisions at a steering group meeting earlier this week have identified a threefold role for Local Labor following on our party’s National Conference, namely:

  • Adoption by Local Labor of the Policy Action Caucus (PAC) model, with both a national and a Victorian focus.
  • An ALP Reform Implementation Watchdog project to ensure agreed reforms such as nationally of the Faulkner/Bracks/Carr review and in Victoria the Griffin Review are acted upon.
  • Member induction, education, training and consciousness raising, through measures including short courses, debates, forums and the provision of a speakers bank to enable informed choices by branches and FEAs of speakers for their meetings.

Stuart Whitman and Cassandra Devine were appointed respectively as the group’s national and Victorian co-convenors and Race Mathews becomes its first national patron.

Further national patrons are expected to be announced shortly, and additional national and Victorian co-convenors and steering group members are to be sought with a view to cross-factional and gender balance.

Immediate actions agreed upon by the meeting include preparation of a submission on reform measures for presentation to the Victorian Rules Revision Committee prior to its deadline on 9 March.

The steering group will in future meet regularly, on the fourth Wednesday of every month.

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Unconscionable Voting

By Andrew Herington

The ALP National Conference granted a conscience vote on gay marriage by 208 to 184 delegates. This was not remarkable because every other vote passed by the same margin – give or take a few people out for a coffee. The number of independent Labor delegates free to vote outside the Right and Left factions was minimal.

The sole exception was the motion on gay marriage itself -carried on the voices despite the opposition of the Prime Minister. Having granted themselves a conscience vote, 30 or more Right delegates voiced their support for the Left position. To avoid embarrassment, neither faction called for a count to reveal who voted for what and organisers sighed in relief that no rogue delegate spoiled the game.

It is not like there were a dozen factions and union groupings that negotiated and realigned over various issues depending on their interests and priorities. Individual State views, the age of delegates or their gender failed to cause the slightest deviation in voting results on issues. It was all straight down the middle- winner take all.

The grim reality was that all the speeches counted for nothing. Delegates were not swayed by rhetoric or factual argument. Regardless of the merits their votes were locked in and the outcomes pre-determined. Oddly, Right leader, Stephen Conroy granted himself a conscience vote on uranium sales based on a childhood experience but failed to free the rest of his faction to similarly express their own views.

The ALP has famously relied on the Pledge signed by all its Caucus members to vote for party positions to maintain cohesion in Parliaments over the last century. The faction leaders see it as logical that every member should be similarly Pledged to either the Right or Left to enable the brokers to control the Party.

The last thing they want to see is the nightmare of the current minority Federal Government being revisited within the ALP. Factional leaders fear being at the mercy of a “crossbench” of unaligned member’s representatives who decide issues on their merits and who use their leverage to push further reforms to democratise the party.

In arguing against a conscience vote on gay marriage, the Left speakers used various arguments that progressive policies could only be implemented by binding party votes to support the leader. This enables reforms at times when there is progressive leadership – but prevents it when, as so often happens there is timidity or external events that mean the time is not ripe for reform.

The Left’s motive in support for reform appears to be that it is currently their best option to get control of the party and reverse the voting pattern at future Conferences. They are not supporting equality based on the overall population – one ordinary ALP member elected as a conference delegate for every Federal electorate.

Instead the Left want it based on current ALP membership which is heavily skewed towards the inner suburbs of the capital cities and broadly more progressive. The compromise is an Implementation Committee charged with finding a formula to implement some degree of direct election of delegates. It will be comprised of factional leaders and its real mission is to ensure the current balance of power is preserved.

Encouragingly, Tasmania and NSW party organisers expressed their frustration with this process and indicated they would push ahead with State reforms in advance of national agreement. Victoria, which traditionally has been the national ideas leader has in this case become the block to reform.

Both Right and Left produced glossy reform proposals, but these were only distributed at the last minute and were silent on any specifics. The Right’s package was very vague about implementation with most matters being referred back to State Conferences.

The actual debate on party reform on the Conference floor was a fiasco because, despite months of notice, the faction leaders had been unable to arrive at their respective positions to put to the conference. The conflict was not just between the factions but within them – yet still there was no open vote.

As a result the motions to be debated were not put onto the Conference website until minutes before the debate commenced. A lengthy filibuster was arranged where more than a dozen speakers made general contributions vaguely supporting reform but opposing specific action. This used up the time to prevent any real consideration of the individual proposals.

The result was complete confusion as in 10 minutes at 7 pm on the Saturday night, (when everyone wanted to leave for dinner) 21 motions were approved and 24 defeated, all on the voices, with a Right majority decreed each time. Ironically, the only unanimous applause was when the chair called for ALP members in the gallery to be silent.

The ALP’s challenge is to retain the support of the 4.7 million people who voted for them at the last Federal election and the further 1.5 million who gave Labor their preference. The current membership – which is slowly declining from around 35,000 – represents less than 1% of these Labor voters. To win a majority next time, Labor must now attract back enough of the 600,000 voters who have deserted the party since 2007.

The stark reality is that nothing decided at the National Conference will provide any inducement to attract the targeted increase of 8,000 new members. The prospect of reform of the policy development process will not empower members if they see that at the end of the day every policy position will be determined 208 to 184.

Andrew Herington is a Melbourne freelance writer and ALP member who attended the National Conference as an observer and supporter of Labor reform.

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